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  Basemetals - Nickel
  23 June 2008 16:34:45 
   
 

Market Summary –

Nickel -Weekly Net Change

Exchange

Month

W. High

W. Low

Close

P. Close

Net Change

MCX

June

1049.5

956.5

972.5

1036

-63.50

LME

3M

24300

21152

22400

24000

-1600.00

LME

Cash

23950

22500

22255

24030

-1775.00




Major Headline-


Nickel production this year may fall 2 percent after Apache Corp. shut a natural gas plant in Western Australia, Citigroup Inc. said. The Apache outage plus an earlier-than-planned rebuild of an Australian smelter may reduce nickel output by 32,000 metric tons this year, analysts Alan Heap and Alex Tonks wrote in a report dated June 13. ``Despite this we still see the nickel market as adequately supplied this year.''

INSG:

Nickel oversupply grew in April to the widest in eight months as demand receded for the third month in a row, according to the International Nickel Study Group.


Supply exceeded demand by 13,700 metric tons in April, the INSG report said. Production increased 6.1%, year over year, while consumption was 112,800 tons, off 0.9% from March.


Weekly Inventory:

Nickel inventory at LME decreased by 228 MT to 46860.00 MT during last week.

MCX Nickel June – Technical Outlook

MCX Nickel June - Weekly Pivot Level

Sup 3

Sup 2

Sup1

Pivot

Res 1

Res 2

Res 3

843.17

899.83

936.17

992.83

1029.17

1085.83

1122.17



Momentum studies are bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over down which is a bearish indication. The stochastics indicators are decreasing from overbought level, which is bearish and should support lower prices.

Recommendations: Sell at 970-975 Target 940 and 925 SL986

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