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RM seed likely to remain with weak trends

2009-07-02 11:25:40
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MUMBAI: Sideways to bearish movement is seen in RMseed futures market. June monsoon rains have remained below normal this year. Although July monsoon is expected to remain somewhat normal.

Deoiled Cake export demand in the past few months has declined sharply while huge imported edible oils have made supply comfortable. Demand in oilseeds and edible oil is highly elastic and prices of one substitute directly affect the demand of other one.

Cheap Crude palm oil import has put a pressure on Soy refined and RMseed oil while Sharp decline in Soy DOC export also restricted upside movement of RMseed.

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A larger section of traders expected a sharp increase in RMseed in past two months but it did not happen and still more chance of corrections are there on overall weakness in oilseeds complex.

In fact it is the rainy season which experience good demand of soy and rapeseed oil. Thus, upside movement may be seen by mid July and may continue for a longer duration. But before that prices are expected to remain range bound.

On Thursday prices are expected to trade with in a range bound pattern with movement in both sides. NCDEX July contract is likely to get support near 528 then 525 and resistance at 533 then 535 levels.

Courtesy: Religare Commodities
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