Fundamental Analysis

NCDEX April Mustard seed futures ended marginally higher due to buying at lower levels on Monday.

Domestic Rabi oilseeds area so far been covered on 93.05 lakh hectare against 98.29 lakh hectare during corresponding period a year ago, as on March 04, 2010. If the yield is better prices may witness bearish sentiments.

Area under Rapeseed/Mustard Seed is reported at 64.92 lakh hectares against 66.87 lakh hectares a year ago, Groundnut at 9.86 lakh hectares against 9.50 lakh hectares, Sunflower sowing is reported at 8.78 lakh hectares against 11.42 lakh hectares in the corresponding period last year.

Technical Analysis

Prices closed below its 10 Day & its 20 Day EMA, which indicates bearish market sentiments.

14-Day RSI is at 45 which is in neutral zone.

Daily MACD is in positive territory.

Outlook

Mustard Seed prices are expected to trade range bound with negative bias due to fresh arrivals of mustard seeds (for short term). However, in the long term, overall it is expected to trade lower on account of higher global oilseeds output and huge import of edible oils may provide support to bears.

Courtesy: Angel Commodities

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