Fundamental Analysis
Benchmark Unjha prices of jeera were quoted at lower rates due to slow trades at the domestic market.
Jeera Futures after touching a high of Rs. 10,985/qtl is now moving in sideways to up manner. Prices at the futures are likely to witness strength in the short term due to expected fresh orders from the overseas market.
Import of jeera from Syria at higher levels is not feasible and whatever jeera is imported from Syria is made to re- export to other nations.
Prices in the short to medium term would be determined by the demand of jeera from the overseas and domestic market. Clear jeera production figures of Syria and Turkey and stocks of jeera in India may determine the prices in the long term (July end onwards).
Technical Analysis
Jeera prices (NCDEX July 09 Contract) closed at Rs.10, 824/qtl down by Rs.46/quintal as compared to Saturday’s close of Rs. 10,870/qtl.
Prices closed above its 10-Day and its 20-Day EMA indicating sideways to up trend.
Outlook
Jeera prices in the intraday may trade in sideways to up manner due expected demand from the overseas market. In short term (till end of June 2009) trend may be determined by the demand from the domestic and overseas market and price parity of the different origins in the international market. In the medium to long term (July 2009 onwards) prices may be determined from the clear Jeera production estimates of Syria and Turkey for 2009 and demand from the overseas market.
Courtesy: Angel Commodities
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