Get Futures Price   
China bubble will not burst right away: Marc Faber
Published on: January 15, 2010 at 13:15
LONDON (Commodity Online): Is the Chinese economy is on a bubble? The China bubble is a subject passionately under discussion among business leaders, economic experts, commodity analysts and investors.

Leading investment pundits have been coming out with their predictions on whether China is sitting in a bubble economy or not. Short-sell veteran Jim Chanos recently said that China is another Dubai, sitting in a precarious excess credit circle. Since excessive credit in China is ballooning, it might burst soon, Chanos predicted.

Many investors have panicked ever since Chanos’ forecast that China will crash under unbridled growth without economic fundamentals. A crash in China would mean that commodities markets—the main driver of the Chinese economy—will collapse.

Global commodities investment guru Jim Rogers, who has been a passionate investor in the Chinese market, has hit back saying Chanos does not know the fundamentals of the economy in China. Rogers further blasted Chanos saying people like him who did not know to pronounce the word China some years back are now experts on the Chinese economy.

While Rogers and Chanos are warring on China, let us look at what is another celebrated commentator—Marc Faber—has to say on the China bubble. Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Bloom, Doom report almost agrees with Chanos on the China bubble forecast, not with Jim Rogers.

Faber agrees with Chanos that China is caught in several serious economic problems. He says: “There is excessive credit in China, but the oversupply of money has been used to build the infrastructure, education, and R&D, rather than consumed. And that is the difference between China and US.”

Faber is concerned about the bubble burst syndrome in China. But unlike Chanos, Faber does not see the Chinese bubble bursting so soon. “The China bubble will not burst soon. I don’t see it imminent.”

“It is very difficult to pinpoint a day when China will implode, I don’t think it will happen right way,” Faber added.

China has, indeed, been the fastest growing economy in the 2000-2009 period. There has been a boom in commodities production and consumption in China. China has overtaken several countries including India, US, Australia and South Africa in the consumption and production of several commodities including base metals and bullion.

There has been a flood of bank lending in China that has been boosting the Chinese appetite for manufacturing, gold mining, agriculture, farming etc. But is it all over?

Let us wait and watch who will be right in the Chinese bubble forecast: Jim Rogers, Jim Chanos or Marc Faber.
Bookmark
 
 
Total Comments :   2 
Andrew Bolton  Posted On : Jan 15, 2010 2:46 PM
What the heck are you talking about? I SAW AND HEARD the interview with Marc Faber. He agrees with Rogers, not Chanos! After noting carefully that Chanos was an old friend he stated (as did Rogers) that China might someday have a bubble, but not anytime soon. Your article simply mystifies me.
Madmilker  Posted On : Jan 20, 2010 1:19 AM
People in America need to realize jus what got America in this shape…"cheap" yes so-call cheap items from a foreign land. quote*Wal-Mart firmly believes in local procurement. We recognize that by purchasing quality products, we can generate more job opportunities, support local manufacturing and boost economic development. Over 95% of the merchandise in our stores in China is sourced locally. We have established partnerships with nearly 20,000 suppliers in China. *end quote! Now! if there be 182 country’s making items for the world to buy and they have only 5% of the pie in China…duh! This company makes the nice people of China support their currency(yuan) by keeping it in their country working for the people there…. but with the “yuan” going up in value and the US dollar going down…all the foreign items that the American consumer buys thinking it is cheap has went up in price. People…its all about the currency and to keep a currency strong you got to keep it floating around the country you live in so it can work for you. For the past 12 years all them US dollars are being shipped overseas to a foreign bank and with the American worker not making anything for the foreigner to buy the “we the people” have to turn to the “second” largest employer in America(Uncle Sam) to sell “we the people” debt in order to get all them dollars back!
Join the discussion
Name *
Your Email
Comments:
characters left
Enter the text as it is shown in the box below

Last year's drought has caused a massive rise in food inflation in India but with a series of schemes for the benefit of agrarian community, government aims to achieve food security

Explore Commodity
Online
Read
Check Out
In Depth
Channels
Research
SMS Services
Others
About Us   |    Advertise   |    Contact Us   |    Feedback   |    Disclaimer   |    Terms & Conditions   |    Sitemap