By Randolph Buss
Here is my market note on the global financial turmoil:
• Accumulate gold, silver in physical form - coins, bars, truckloads
• HOLD OFF on all equity buying - markets are extremely volatile and VOID of any valuation logic
• As I predicted, we got the rate cuts from EVERYBODY - Central Banks collude to cut
• Deflationary tendencies to be fought with EVERYTHING in the arsenal - may lead to hyperinflationary spiral ; Reflation is now underway
• Confidence in politics, politicians, bankers, paper is lost -- all were "asleep at the wheel"
• US Housing - still further to go
• I reiterate - in this market, single fundamentals have no importance ; macro global considerations are more important
• Commodities equities remain not only oversold but are screaming BUYS - but not yet - my BUY nibblings have been slaughtered - better to wait until at least until more is known about what politicians have in store; I fear nothing good
• Impossible to save with negative rates in most Western countries as inflation is raging ... but off the radar screen ; the only thing holding value has been gold.
• Winter is approaching - how will the total lack of sunspots affect ?
• BEAR Market : in force ; DAX 5.700 , DOW 10.500 next stops ; SPOT ON but never expected it this soon - possible target of DOW 8.000 now VERY CLOSE as I had said
• Accumulate : Swiss Francs
• The Central Banks have lost control thus far - this weekend I expect more drastic steps to be announced
• Current Outlook : weakness into 2009 ; commodity prices likely to be suppressed from equity outlook but may be trumped by stampede of FEAR into oil, gold, etc. Not knowable but things are looking like a complete flight to safety - cash + gold -- forget useless bonds right now.
• Flight to Safety : short term I see no credible asset class for protection ; cash hold ; accumulate hard assets on all pullbacks especially gold & silver.
Courtesy: www.dinl.net