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Gold is the only neutral currency

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By Justice Litle
Does anyone know how to contact the Inter-Planetary Monetary Fund – the “IPMF”? I’m hoping maybe Alpha Centauri has some spare credit lines we can tap. Because if not, we could be in some seriously deep kimchee here… Seriously though. When the government runs out of money – or rather, the credibility to keep on printing it with abandon – who is left?

Keynesian economists believe that public sector intervention is the key to curing private sector ills. That’s why they were so supportive of the bailouts. In fact, one might argue that “when in doubt, bail them out” sums up half a century of Keynesian thought in just six words. Private sector woes got you down? Let the sovereign entity (i.e. the government) leverage up its balance sheet when times are tough.

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Defenders argue that the great man (John Maynard Keynes) never intended for his ideas to be abused this way. As a balance to all that counter-cyclical spending, governments were also supposed to save when times were good… the equivalent of the squirrel storing up acorns for winter, rather than gorging all year round.

But what good is a theory that works on paper, yet utterly falls on its face in practice? This is one of the reasons ivory tower economists are so useless… and so dangerous. They insist on clinging to ideas that appear seaworthy in the textbooks, only to be shipwrecked by human nature in their application to the real world.

Consider the above chart, which shows total U.S. debt (public and private) as a percentage of GDP (gross domestic product) dating back 140 years. Note, in particular, the nature of the curve since 1970 or so. It has gone close to vertical since then – starting right about the time Tricky Dick Nixon declared, “We are all Keynesians now.”

Of course, it is not the United States that is in the spotlight at the moment. Europe is. But what is happening in Europe is merely a prelude – an opening act, if you will.

Picture a sovereign debt domino chain. With each domino that falls, the stakes grow successively higher. Greece was just a little domino, they said. Just 2% of Europe’s GDP, they said. But little dominoes can topple bigger dominoes.

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Alan  Posted On : Jul 23, 2010 1:52 AM
Dear Daily Reckoning Editorial Team, Thank you for carrying a recent Taipan Daily article: http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Gold-is-the-only-neutral-currency-28214-1-1.html However, we noticed within the content, there is not a live link back to the original article, which we require of sites republishing our content. We ask if you would do this for our existing content and any others in the future. Here is the link to the original Taipan Daily article: http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/tpg/taipan-daily/taipan-daily-051410.html Also, some of our editors have new roles. Please ensure that the editor’s bio is updated. For your convenience we’ve included the updated bio: Justice Litle is the Editorial Director of Taipan Publishing Group, Editor of Justice Litle’s Macro Trader and Managing Editor to the free investing and trading e-letter Taipan Daily. Justice began his career by pursuing a Ph.D. in literature and philosophy at Oxford University in England, and continued his education at Pulacki University in Olomouc, Czech Republic, and Macquarie University in Sydney, Australia. Bios for additional editors can be found on the Taipan Publishing Group Web site: http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/editorial.html Please let us know when these changes and updates have been made. As always, we welcome article submissions, and encourage you to submit articles to us. Please contact my supervisor, Missi Carmen, at mcarmen@taipangroup.com or myself if you have any questions