Last Updated : 04 November 2011 at 22:35 IST
'Gold may hit $2000/oz on negative real rates'
If real U.S. interest rates remain low, gold eventually may top $2,000 an ounce, says Deutsche Bank. The bank looks for gold to be the most resilient of the precious metals for the time being, since others with heavier industrial uses are held back when global economic growth is under pressure.
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LONDON (Commodity Online): If real U.S. interest rates remain low, gold eventually may top $2,000 an ounce, says Deutsche Bank. The bank looks for gold to be the most resilient of the precious metals for the time being, since others with heavier industrial uses are held back when global economic growth is under pressure.
“We view tail-event protection such as a break-up of the euro zone as sustaining private-sector demand for gold. Interestingly, despite the strong rise in gold prices this year, gold price gains have under-performed relative to the level of U.S. real interest rates.” the bank says.
Deutsche Bank’s analysis shows that since 1970, whenever U.S. real interest rates have fallen below minus 3%, gold prices have typically risen by an average of 40% year on year. “On this basis, if real rates remain at current depressed levels, it would imply a move above USD2,000/oz is only a matter of time,” Deutsche Bank concludes.
By Allen Sykora of Kitco News; firstname.lastname@example.org
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