By Adam Brochert
I stumbled onto this little gem about a year ago and I think it is about to work its magic again. I am speaking of the ratio of the Central Fund of Canada (CEF) to the price of Gold.
This CEF:Gold ratio barely triggered a buy signal for silver on December 27, 2011. Of course, a "barely triggered" signal may be all we are able to achieve if silver is getting ready to rocket higher after a brutal but fairly typical (for silver) correction from the the spring, 2011 highs. Here's a chart of this ratio through today's close to show the buy signal for silver (the top plot is the price of silver, while the lower plot is the CEF:$GOLD ratio):
Coupled with horrible sentiment for the restless metal and rampant fears of a deflationary collapse, I think the low is already in for silver. I give you this chart of money supply growth courtesy of shadowstats.com:
This type of monetary madness is what gave rise to silver's last run! We'll have to see what happens, but I think the CEF:Gold ratio will once again prove to be right. I like metal stocks over metal right now and silver over Gold. However, I like anything precious and metal-related at current levels.
Source: goldversuspaper
