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Last Updated : 11 February 2010 at 17:00 IST
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Why silver price will boom to $50/oz

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Industrial applications for silver have always been significant, but they have increased significantly in recent years. Silver is used in film, mirrors, batteries, medical devices, electrical appliances such as fridges, toasters, washing machines and uses have expanded to include cell phones, flat-screen televisions and many other modern high tech devices.

Increasing industrial demand for silver is forecast due to economic growth in China, India, Vietnam, Russia, Brazil and other emerging economies in South America, the Middle East and Asia. Growing middle classes are now demanding the quality of life and standard of living enjoyed by many in the West and thus the demand for silver will likely increase.

Silver is known as the 'healthy metal' and has many and increasing medical applications.

In a world that is showing increasing concern about the spread of diseases and pandemics such as swine flu, silver is being increasingly tapped for its biocidal properties. Research is ongoing on the use of silver and its compounds for therapeutic uses and on its potential use as a disinfectant in hospitals and other medical facilities.

Increasingly, silver's antimicrobial and antibacterial qualities are seeing it being used in all sorts of medical applications and this looks set to become a very significant source of demand in the coming years.

Silver has many unique properties which make it ideal and indeed essential in global industry - especially in the global photography, technology, medical, defence and electronic industries. Yet, silver is a finite resource and the supply of silver is increasing only very incrementally.

It is important to note that silver, unlike gold, is heavily used in industry and because of gold's much higher value, it gets recycled and all the gold mined in the world ever is still with us but a huge amount of silver has been used in photography, mirrors and other industrial uses in the last 200 years. The low price of silver makes recovery and recycling uneconomic.

Unlike gold, silver is like oil - as it is consumed in these many industrial applications it is gone forever.

Silver: Increasing Investment Demand
Investment demand for silver has risen in recent years as investors concerned about the value and safety of property, equities and deposits allocated funds diversify to the finite commodities and currencies of silver and gold. More recently, there have been increasing concerns about the value of paper currencies themselves (voiced by many including Alan Greenspan, John Paulson and George Soros) which is leading to further diversification into hard assets and precious metals.

There has been a marked increase in investment demand for silver in recent years. Some of the reasons why this trend is likely to continue are - the introduction of ETFs that track the price of silver, a new global liquidity bubble, the significant growth in the global money supply, the proliferation of millionaires, ultra high net worth individuals and billionaires, the proliferation of hedge funds and the exponential growth in derivatives.

The Bank for International Settlements has estimated that the total value of derivatives contracts was $592 trillion at the end of 2008 (up exponentially from $260 trillion in June 2006). Thus, dwarfing the GDP of the entire world which was estimated at some $61 trillion at the end of 2008.

There is still a debate as to whether derivatives are a good or a bad thing. Alan Greenspan recently warned they could lead to "cascading cross defaults." Warren Buffett is similarly concerned and has warned that they could trigger "serious systemic problems." Buffet said that "the derivatives genie is now well out of the bottle, and these instruments will almost certainly multiply in variety and number until some event makes their toxicity clear. "

For this reason Buffett presciently called derivatives "financial weapons of mass destruction" in 2003.

Investors in silver bullion coins and bars are hedging themselves against further deflation and falls in property and equity markets. They are further protecting themselves against rising inflation, possible currency devaluations and still very prevalent geopolitical and macroeconomic risks such those posed by the humongous global derivatives market.

Silver is unique in terms of being both a monetary and an industrial metal. Silver is priced at less than $17/oz today. The average nominal price of silver in 1979 and 1980 was $21.80/oz and $16.39/oz respectively. In today's dollars and adjusted for inflation that would equate to an inflation adjusted average price of some $60/oz and $44/oz in 1979 and 1980. It is for this reason that we believe silver will be valued at well over $50/oz in the coming years and silver remains the investment opportunity of a lifetime.

Courtesy: www.goldcore.com
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MCX SUGARMKOL EX - KOLHAPUR 20 June 2012 contract was trading at Rs 2910 . What's your view on it?
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manish  Posted On : Apr 23, 2011 10:43 AM
The Price of Silver mentioned in your discussion above says, Silver was 1.40/OZ in 1971 and nearly $ 50/oz in 1980 it has to be $5/oz in 1980 please have it re-corrected as your details on the topic of silver is valuable now and for years to come Regards Manish Singhani
Blue  Posted On : Apr 14, 2011 9:46 PM
Silver is at a Price of 41.2-5 Us $$$ april 14
Blue  Posted On : Apr 14, 2011 9:41 PM
invested 50 bucks in 1 troy ounce of silver nugget's im soooo poor, i could use 100 or 200 bucks at the end of the year, maby more if i invest more
joe  Posted On : Dec 26, 2010 5:03 PM
mark my words everybody. i made a small fortune trading slv options in 2010.I told some of the financial experts that i know how silver will hit 30 dollars by the end of 2010 and they laughed at me. They arent laughing anymore.i will make another prediction now. silver will hit $55 to $60 dollars per ounce by the end of 2011.i will be very happy in 1 year.
shyamgoel  Posted On : Dec 12, 2010 7:44 PM
give me a target for silver 2011 to2012
mansukhlal  Posted On : Nov 20, 2010 11:09 PM
silver high level in hits
Cary  Posted On : Nov 07, 2010 8:19 AM
I tend to agree with Ron. As of today, 11/6/10, gold stands at $1393 and silver at $27.76. Oil is at a 2 year high near $86. While it is psychologically difficult to buy at the record metal prices, I still plan to buy , as these prices will appear to be bargains when gold hits $2000 in 2012 and silver hits $55. Those are my predictions. Those numbers could even come sooner than that.
Ron  Posted On : Oct 14, 2010 8:00 PM
This article needs to be updated as silver is close to the 24.50 d0llar mark(10-14-2010) .I predict silver will get higher in the future, while i cant tell you in what month or specific date, I can tell you it will be going higher in the future .When anybody puts a number on silver, they give you an amount knowing that ecventually in due time or be it years from now, it will hit the mark .but the star of the show has Been gold recently ,a person who would have bougt 10 ounces 2 years a go for 900 bucks, is now sitting at , 1,455.00 , thats a 55 dollar profit in just 2 years ! anyways, as the government goes Rogue and allows the pre oplanned economic collapse of america , the countdown continues.Dont be surprised to see strange and drastic market swings as the situiation will get crazy . More people will become dependant on Government as many will further be unemployed and many more joing ing the foodstamp program as that is all they have left . corporate Representatives in congress will assure us that this will happen regardless of what political party . Dam the torpedos !!!
Pankaj  Posted On : Feb 11, 2010 5:45 PM
You had written in comming years silver will touch 50 dollar mark, this is no statement until you clearly mention the specific period. The reasons which you had given for its increase is understandable.