India’s rice exports may fall by 18-20% in FY2020
Commodity Online | February 06 2020
UPDATED 14:50:46 IST

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• India is the world’s largest rice exporter with over 25% share in global markets
• Rice contributes to over 2% of overall exports within the Indian export basket
• Rice exports have grown at a CAGR of nearly 14% between FY10-19
• Rice exports for FY20 expected to fall due to geo-political situations, tighter trade norms and higher MSP on the commodity by government

5th February 2020, Mumbai: US-based trade finance company Drip Capital has released a report detailing the state of India’s rice exports. Chalking out detailed insights from proprietary data and on-ground conversations with exporters, the report analyses the country’s rice shipments, with Basmati rice occupying a major share.

Within the Indian export basket, rice contributes to over 2% of overall exports. The sector reported a CAGR of 14% between FY2010 to FY2019. However, rice exports this year have seen a decline across the globe with a major dip coming from the Middle East due to heightened geopolitical tensions. A resulting fall in prices has further aggravated the sector’s woes.

Haryana is the top Basmati rice exporting state in the country with a CAGR of 3% between FY16-19, shipping US$2,410 million in FY19 alone. Gujarat is second with shipments of US$1,106 million in FY19; however, Gujarat has posted an impressive CAGR of 47% over FY16-19. Other major contributing states are Delhi, West Bengal and Andhra Pradesh.

Rice being a Kharif crop (August – November) shows a clear seasonal pattern in exports as well. The four months post-harvest (December – March) see over 40% of annual exports as compared to the rest of the year. The current year's (FY19-20) rice exports have also been trending much below previous years’ performance.

Pushkar Mukewar, Co-Founder and Co-CEO, Drip Capital said, “YTD exports so far are looking bleak with Iran, the biggest export market, seeing a 22% fall in shipments. Other export markets like the UAE (33%), Nepal (23%), Yemen (2%), Senegal (90%) and Bangladesh (94%) have also seen a fall in rice shipments from India. On the other hand, exports to certain nations broke from the trend to post growth, such as Saudi Arabia (4%), Iraq (10%), Benin (8%) and the USA (4%).”