MCX Cotton likely to move in a range of 21040-21500
Commodity Online | August 23 2019
UPDATED 12:00:53 IST

MCX Mentha Oil under long liquidation; Support seen at 1150.4

NCDEX Chana under long liquidation; Resistance seen at 4097

MCX Cotton under short covering; Support seen at 19090

MCX Aluminium under fresh buying; Resistance seen at 138.4

MCX Nickel under fresh selling; Support seen at 932.3

Technically Cotton market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 4.34% to settled at 6034 while prices up 140 rupees.

Now MCX Cotton is getting support at 21160 and below same could see a test of 21040 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 21390, a move above could see prices testing 21500.

Cotton on MCX settled up by 0.66% at 21280 due to reduces arrivals of the crop from Tamil Nadu region. As per reports, there is a reduction of 50,000 bales in the crop estimate for Tamil Nadu compared to the previous month’s estimate.

Indian cotton production for the 2019-20 season is seen at 29 million 480 lb bales, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) said in a report down 1% from earlier estimates.

The production decline is the result of reduced plantings in central Maharashtra, where farmers are shifting towards soybeans as well as in Karnataka, where farmers are switching to pulses and corn, the attache said.

While overall plantings are expected to fall, they are happening at an accelerated rate this season in part because of the delayed monsoon, the report said. As of July 19, cotton planted area was 5% higher than the five-year average, with plantings especially accelerated in the states of Rajasthan and Odisha.

At 29 million bales, the anticipated 2019-20 output is down only slightly from the 29.3 million bales forecasted earlier this year, but still about 9% larger than the 2018-19 crop.

USDA increase production forecast for cotton in India by 1.75% this month to 29 million bales while the stocks jump by 17.8% to 8.93 m-bales.

Trading Ideas:
--Cotton trading range for the day is 21040-21500.
--Cotton gained due to reduces arrivals of the crop from Tamil Nadu region.
--India cotton sowing 121.58 lakh hac vs 115.17 lakh hac year ago
--Area in Gujarat under cotton is higher by 64% as on 12-Jul-19 at 18.76 lakh ha compared to 11.44 lakh ha last year.
--Cotton prices in spot market gained by 40.00 rupees and settled at 20740.00 rupees.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities             

Commodity Arrivals Rate
Mustard Oil 1.2 9400.00
Coconut Oil 2.5 17500.00
Arecanut 1.24 20800.00
Sugar 0.4 3800.00