MCX Cotton under fresh selling; Support seen at 15640
Commodity Online | May 26 2020
UPDATED 12:00:42 IST

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Technically Cotton market is under fresh selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 58.34% to settled at 3732 while prices down 260 rupees.

Now MCX Cotton is getting support at 15640 and below same could see a test of 15540 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 15880, a move above could see prices testing 16020.

Cotton yesterday settled down by 1.62% at 15740 as trade tensions between the United States and China mounted, while optimism around demand growth after reopening of several major economies helped limit losses.

Prices got some support earlier in the week an alert by the Union agriculture ministry of a possible locust attack in Punjab, in the coming months has sent the cotton and paddy growers into a tizzy.

The Locust Warning Organisation (LWO), a subsidiary of the central ministry, has identified Fazilka district, which shares the boundary with the neighbouring state of Rajasthan as well as Pakistan, as the most vulnerable to attacks by swarms of migratory pests that target vegetation.

The Telangana government’s call to farmers to grow cotton on 70 lakh acres as against the normal area of 40-45 lakh acres came in as a surprise to cotton industry watchers in the State. Sudden increase in cotton acreage could also lead to severe shortage of seeds.

Quality seeds are not something that can be procured in a short span of time. Cotton planting expectations for the 2020/2021 marketing year mirror the prior year’s estimates.

Cotton farmers are projected to plant 13.7 million acres of cotton in 2020/2021, as they did in 2019/2020. USDA anticipates a slight yield bump for the new crop but offsets the production estimate with fewer harvested acres.

Trading Ideas:
--Cotton trading range for the day is 15540-16020.
--Cotton dropped as trade tensions between the United States and China mounted, while optimism around demand growth after reopening helped limit losses.
--USDA weekly export sales report showed net sales of 128,900 running bales for 2019/2020 were down 46% from the previous week
--The Telangana government’s call to farmers to grow cotton on 70 lakh acres as against the normal area of 40-45 lakh acres.
--Corona virus is affecting the global trade and world economies

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

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