NCDEX Chana under fresh selling; Resistance seen at 4078
Commodity Online | September 12 2019
UPDATED 12:10:31 IST

MCX Mentha Oil likely to move in a range of 1258-1289.6

MCX Aluminium may trade between 138.1-140.1 levels

NCDEX Chana under long liquidation; Resistance seen at 4001

MCX Nickel likely to move in a range of 1205.6-1243

MCX Cotton under short covering; Support seen at 19580

Technically Chana market is under fresh selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 8.56% to settled at 90340 while prices down 9 rupees.

Now NCDEX Chana is getting support at 4031 and below same could see a test of 4012 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 4078, a move above could see prices testing 4106.

Chana on NCDEX settled down by 0.22% at 4051 as availability in the market is higher as stockiest are selling their crop.There are expectations that the coming Rabi crop sowing would be higher given the current weather condition.

At present Chana demand is lower than normal due lower demand of millers and lower prices of other pulses which is putting downward pressure on the prices. Higher stocks of Chana with NAFED and expectation of liquidation in the coming months is putting downward pressure on the domestic prices.

However, government decision to sell Chana at or above MSP is holding the prices. According to the fourth advance estimate, India Chana production of 2018-19 is estimated at 10.13 MMT which is 1 per cent higher than the third advance estimate of 10.09 MMT.

Final production estimate of 2017-18 is 11.38 MMT. This year production estimate is lower than last year due to lower acreage.All India Chana arrivals from 1st to 26th of August is 1.19 lakh MT which is around 6.30 per cent lower than last year arrivals of 1.27 Lakh MT in the same time period.

Lower arrivals are due to prevailing lower prices of Chana in the domestic market. According to the latest report of ABARES, Australia chickpea acreage forecast for 2019-20 is 3.70 lakh hectares which in 22.11 per cent higher than 2018-19 acreage estimate of 3.03 lakh hectares.

Trading Ideas:
--Chana trading range for the day is 4012-4106.
--Chana prices seen under pressure as availability in the market is higher as stockiest are selling their crop.
--Higher stocks of Chana with NAFED and expectation of liquidation in the coming months is putting downward pressure on prices.
--There are expectations that the coming Rabi crop sowing would be higher given the current weather condition.
--In Delhi spot market, chana gained  by 59.6 Rupees to end at 4060.85 Rupees per 100 kgs.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

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