NCDEX Jeera under fresh selling; Resistance seen at 14140
Commodity Online | September 21 2020
UPDATED 11:50:16 IST

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Technically Jeera market is under fresh selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 2.64% to settled at 2097 while prices down 55 rupees.

Now NCDEX Jeera is getting support at 14025 and below same could see a test of 13965 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 14140, a move above could see prices testing 14195.

Jeera yesterday settled down by 0.39% at 13875 on update production of jeera may rise 29% to 535,500 tn in the 2019-20. Jeera exports are likely to have slumped over 59% on year to 20,000 tn in Jan-Mar as the coronavirus pandemic hit demand in key markets such as China.

India was at an advantage in terms of exports due to lower production in Syria and Turkey–its main competitors. During Apr-Dec, exports had grown 27% to 167,000 tn, data from the Spices Board India showed.

Syria and Turkey are yet to come in the market and there was great opportunity for India to export during the new crop season as the sole supplier but that is also gone. Both Syria and Turkey's output is likely to double in 2020-21 (Jul-Jun).

Despite a peak demand period, the operations of spices industry in many upcountry markets have been hit in the wake of a labour shortage.

Though the industry has to work in full swing prior to the onset of monsoon, their presence in the red zone area coupled with the departure of labour has affected the functioning of many spices industries especially in Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Delhi.

Trading Ideas:
--Jeera trading range for the day is 13760-14040.
--Jeera prices dropped on update production of jeera may rise 29% to 535,500 tn
--Jeera exports are likely to have slumped over 59% on year to 20,000 tn in Jan-Mar.
--Despite a peak demand period, the operations of spices industry in many upcountry markets have been hit in the wake of a labour shortage.
--In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujarat, jeera edged down by 23.9 Rupees to end at 13770.85 Rupees per 100 kg.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

Commodity Arrivals Rate
Coconut Oil 0.1 17900.00
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Gur 4.5 3380.00

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