NCDEX Mustard Seed under long liquidation; Support seen at 4230
Commodity Online | May 20 2020
UPDATED 11:30:29 IST

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Technically Mustard Seed market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 3.56% to settled at 13550 while prices down 1 rupees.

Now NCDEX  Mustard Seed is getting support at 4230 and below same could see a test of 4215 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 4262, a move above could see prices testing 4279.

Mustard Seed yesterday settled down by 0.02% at 4245 on profit booking after prices gained amid expectation of fall in output during the current rabi season.

The procurement of mustard in the ongoing season is gradually gathering pace despite the nationwide lockdown.

As per the latest data available with Union Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare, agency has procured 3.40 lakh tonnes of mustard from five states, namely Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat and Haryana.

Unable to get the minimum support price for mustard, farmers in Punjab have been withholding the crop for a month. In Rajasthan, mustard is being bought at MSP. However, in Punjab farmers are not being paid fixed rates.

Government officials say since no Central agency is operating in Punjab, farmers have to sell their crop to private players. This year, production is expected to be around 77/78 lakh tonnes by looking at sowing and weather across the country.

In Gujarat, procurement of mustard seed has got off to a very slow start with Gujcomasol managing to operationalise only four out of 14 procurement centres.

The cooperative body has so far procured 111.65 quintal mustard seeds from 53 farmers. MSP for mustard seeds is Rs4425 per quintal this year.

Trading Ideas:
--Mustard Seed trading range for the day is 4215-4279.
--Mustard Seed dropped on profit booking after prices gained amid expectation of fall in output during the current rabi season.
--Mustard production has been revised downwards to 7.6 mln tn in 2019-20 (Jul-Jun) from 7.8 mln tn pegged in early March.
--Rapeseed (canola) oil imports in Apr was 0.27 lakh tons compared to zero imports in Apr 2019.
--In Alwar spot market in Rajasthan the prices gained 51.5 Rupees to end at 4385.5 Rupees per 100 kg.

Courtesy: Kedia Commodities

Commodity Arrivals Rate
Mustard Oil 1 11300.00
Coconut Oil 1 20700.00
Arecanut 2 3500.00
Sugar 20 3430.00

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